In his most recent essay, Paul Graham, founder of Y-Combinator, misses the forest for the trees in his prediction that writing as a skill will be functionally extinct because of AI. To be specific, Graham thinks that many people won’t be able to write because AI has dissipated almost all pressure to write. And because the gap between being a good writer and not being able to write has disappeared.
I want to presuppose that when he says writing, Graham means communicating effectively and asynchronously through text. Not actually writing by typing keys or scratching pens. I don’t think that skill will ever go away because frankly, using your voice alone to communicate would suck. It is not realistic in any litany of places where it would either be inappropriate, too loud, or impossible to talk.
In his essay, Graham says, “One of the strangest things you learn if you're a writer is how many people have trouble writing. Doctors know how many people have a mole they're worried about; people who are good at setting up computers know how many people aren't; writers know how many people need help writing.”
I’m more than willing to agree with that. When I was in journalism school, I was horrified that even after four years, seniors who had been coached for 1/5th of their lives on how to write could barely string together a succinct essay. I can’t imagine the quality of the average person’s paper today. To these people, writing well was never important, because if it had been, they’d have learned how to do it. They wrote well enough to pass their classes, and well enough to ease their minds. For them, using AI to write is like using spell check and accepting all changes. There was no craft to begin with. Yet, by the very nature of having to communicate with the AI, and that I can’t imagine a world in which not being able to write without using an AI doesn’t get you teased out of the room, I imagine that even these people will retain a poor to okay level of writing skill.
Graham also talks about how “AI has blown this world open. Almost all pressure to write has dissipated. You can have AI [write] for you, both in school and at work.”
In school, if used unethically like when writing a paper, AI scribing is only going to result in more student suffering. No matter how advanced an AI becomes, it will never be able to write an essay by hand in a blue book with a number 2 pencil. I hate to say it, but kids are spoiled by Chromebooks and iPads. If kids are found to be cheating on their essays or on their online tests, there’s nothing stopping teachers from taking a step back from technology on test days and forcing students to write by hand. AI might be the revitalization handwriting needs.
Graham asks, “Isn't it common for skills to disappear when technology makes them obsolete? There aren't many blacksmiths left, and it doesn't seem to be a problem.” Yet only a paragraph later distinguishes writing from other skills by stating, “writing is thinking. In fact there's a kind of thinking that can only be done by writing. You can't make this point better than Leslie Lamport did: If you're thinking without writing, you only think you're thinking.”
People are still taught how to write by hand, and even cursive. The most popular medium for books is still paper, despite e-reader’s many advantages. We don’t operate in a reality where the rational choice is always the one that wins. Instead, emotions often rule our days, and writing is one skill unlike any other--inexplicably tied to our thoughts and feelings. I don’t see a world in which we ever let that skill go.